The Netherlands and Greece have spent four Nations League matches refusing to lose. On Friday night, one of them could finally run out of answers.

Both sides enter their meeting at the Johan Cruijff ArenA with eight points from four games, leaving them separated only by goals scored at the top of Group A2.

Germany are lurking three points behind, so neither side can afford to treat this as a routine November international.

For Xavi Hernández, it’s an opportunity to take a significant step towards the Nations League quarter-finals. For Ivan Jovanović, it’s another chance to prove that Greece belong among Europe’s strongest national teams.

The reverse fixture in Thessaloniki offered plenty of encouragement for the visitors.

Greece raced into a two-goal lead before Virgil van Dijk and Tijjani Reijnders rescued a 2-2 draw for the Netherlands. It was an impressive comeback, but also a reminder that Oranje can be exposed defensively.

Greece have since held Germany to a goalless draw, adding another impressive result to a campaign that already includes victories over Serbia and the Germans.

The Dutch have been similarly resilient. Two wins and two draws have kept them unbeaten, although their squad has been weakened by injuries.

Van Dijk, Ryan Gravenberch and Brian Brobbey are among those unavailable. The return of Frenkie de Jong offers some encouragement, while Donyell Malen arrives in outstanding club form.

Friday’s encounter should be considerably more competitive than the bookmakers’ home advantage might suggest.

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What are the best betting tips for Netherlands vs Greece?

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals

The reverse fixture finished 2-2, and there are reasons to expect another entertaining contest in Amsterdam.

Greece have shown they can threaten the Dutch defence, particularly when attacking quickly after winning possession. Their two-goal advantage in Thessaloniki was no accident.

The Netherlands, meanwhile, have attacking quality throughout the side. Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen and Crysencio Summerville should provide enough movement to stretch Greece’s defensive shape.

Van Dijk’s absence is significant. Without their captain organising the back line, the hosts could be more vulnerable to Greece’s direct attacking play.

Both teams scoring alongside over 2.5 goals offers a more ambitious angle than simply expecting another goal from each side.

Donyell Malen to score anytime

Malen’s club form makes him particularly difficult to overlook.

The Roma forward has reportedly scored 14 goals in 12 appearances this season, earning a return to the Netherlands squad.

His pace and willingness to attack space behind defenders could be important against a Greek side that will not necessarily sit deep throughout the match.

Greece have several physical defenders, but Malen’s movement across the front line gives him opportunities to find favourable matchups.

The main consideration is selection. Xavi has other attacking options, including Joshua Zirkzee and Mexx Meerdink.

If Malen starts centrally, his goalscorer market looks considerably more interesting than a short-priced Netherlands victory.

Greece +1 Asian handicap

The Netherlands deserve favouritism at home, but Greece have done enough in this group to earn respect.

Jovanović’s side are unbeaten after four matches. They’ve beaten Germany, drawn with them and already held the Dutch to a 2-2 draw.

Their defensive organisation has been particularly impressive against stronger opposition.

The Netherlands are also missing several established players, including Van Dijk and Gravenberch. Those absences could make it harder to control the match.

Greece +1 Asian handicap wins if Greece win or draw, returns the stake if the Netherlands win by exactly one goal, and loses if the hosts win by two or more.

It offers a different angle from the attacking selections, particularly for anyone expecting Greece to make this another difficult evening for Oranje.

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How to watch Netherlands vs Greece

• Date: Friday, 13 November 2026

• Kick-off: 7:45pm GMT (8:45pm local time)

• Competition: UEFA Nations League, League A Group 2

• Venue: Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam

• UK: Broadcaster not independently confirmed

• USA: Check local UEFA Nations League listings

• Canada: Check local UEFA Nations League listings

Netherlands predicted lineup and team news

Predicted formation: 4-3-3

Predicted XI: Verbruggen; Dumfries, Van Hecke, Timber, Van de Ven; Quinten Timber, De Jong, Veerman; Summerville, Malen, Gakpo.

Xavi Hernández must manage several important absences. Virgil van Dijk, Ryan Gravenberch, Kenneth Taylor and Brian Brobbey have withdrawn through injury, while Jeremie Frimpong, Nathan Aké and Jorrel Hato are also unavailable.

Van Dijk’s absence could see Jan Paul van Hecke partner Jurriën Timber in central defence. Denzel Dumfries and Micky van de Ven should provide width from the full-back positions.

Frenkie de Jong returns after a lengthy injury absence and could start alongside Quinten Timber and Joey Veerman.

Donyell Malen is pushing to lead the attack following his impressive club form, with Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville expected to provide support from wide positions.

Greece predicted lineup and team news

Predicted formation: 4-4-2

Predicted XI: Tzolakis; Vagiannidis, Mavropanos, Koulierakis, Tsimikas; Masouras, Kourbelis, Androutsos, Tzolis; Ioannidis, Pavlidis.

Ivan Jovanović has two suspensions to manage. Christos Zafeiris and Manolis Saliakas are unavailable after collecting their second bookings of the Nations League campaign.

Giorgos Vagiannidis could replace Saliakas at right-back, with Konstantinos Mavropanos and Konstantinos Koulierakis forming the central defensive partnership.

Dimitris Kourbelis should provide experience in midfield, while Christos Tzolis offers a direct attacking threat from the left.

Fotis Ioannidis and Vangelis Pavlidis are expected to compete for attacking positions, with Tasos Douvikas another option after his impressive recent club performances.

Netherlands vs Greece stats

• Both teams have eight points from four Nations League matches.

• The Netherlands lead Group A2 on goals scored.

• Oranje have won two and drawn two of their opening four matches.

• Greece are also unbeaten, with two wins and two draws.

• Germany sit third, three points behind both sides.

• The Netherlands have come from behind to draw twice in this campaign.

• Greece led the reverse fixture 2-0 before the Dutch recovered to draw 2-2.

• Virgil van Dijk and Tijjani Reijnders scored the Dutch goals in Thessaloniki.

• Greece defeated Germany 1-0 earlier in the group.

• Greece subsequently held Germany to a goalless draw.

• The Netherlands have beaten Serbia twice in the competition.

• Donyell Malen has reportedly scored 14 goals in 12 club appearances this season.

• Greece have never beaten the Netherlands in a senior competitive fixture.

• The Netherlands won both meetings during qualification for Euro 2024.

• The top two teams in Group A2 qualify for the Nations League quarter-finals.

Netherlands vs Greece prediction

The Netherlands have home advantage, but Greece have already demonstrated they can compete with Xavi’s side.

Jovanović has built a team capable of defending effectively without sacrificing its attacking threat. Their results against Germany provide further evidence that this is no longer an opponent the traditional European powers can underestimate.

The Dutch should control possession, particularly with De Jong returning to midfield.

However, Van Dijk’s absence creates uncertainty at the back. Greece will look to exploit that through Tzolis, Ioannidis and Pavlidis.

Malen’s finishing could be decisive for the hosts, while Gakpo’s movement should create problems for the Greek full-backs.

Neither side has lost in this campaign, and another close contest looks likely.

The Netherlands may have enough attacking quality to edge the game, but Greece should make them work for every opportunity.

Score prediction: Netherlands 2-1 Greece

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